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One of the biggest question marks heading into the 2014-2015 season concerned the Ottawa Senators, and whether or not they would be able to rebound from a weirdly disappointing season one year ago. Last year’s team only missed the post-season by five points, but it never felt that close – a lot was made about the slide in goaltending being a big factor in Ottawa’s regression, but just as vital was Ottawa’s inability to translate possession into goals, or shots on goal, for that matter. Paul MacLean’s had three decent-to-very-good possession teams during his tenure, but all of those teams have had a weird commonality – a sharp distinction between their Shot% (percentage of shots on goal taken by the team) and Corsi% (percentage of all shot attempts taken by the team). In Ottawa’s case, not so much. Shots vs. Corsi Shot% Corsi% 2011-12 50.7% 52.3% 2012-13 52.2% 53.6% 2013-14 49.9% 52.4% A popular theory as to why this disparity exists is that Ottawa struggles far more than their opposition at cleanly exiting the defensive zone. In Ottawa’s case, this makes sense for a variety of reasons. Tyler Dellow – to cite one example – noticed last season that Ottawa blocked an extremely small percentage of shot-attempts relative to the rest of the league. It’s quite possible that Ottawa’s not doing this by design, and that constant turnovers have created a situation where they just are infrequently in position to deter shots on goal against. This season doesn’t look much different than last in that sense. Ottawa’s allowed a whopping 38.07 shots against per 60 at even-strength, better only than Buffalo as of Wednesday afternoon. Part of the massive total is again because Ottawa’s only blocked about 17% of total shot-attempts against; the league average is generally around 25.7%. The only saving grace is that Ottawa’s goaltenders stopped 96.5% of those shots on their three-game road-trip, which allowed them to pick up a pair of victories. So, what you have here is a doubly-concerning problem. Ottawa already plays an extremely high-event game at both ends of the rink. In their end, some of those shot-attempts are materializing into shots, likely because defensive zone exits are an issue. And, a few of those shots – which may ordinarily be blocked in a normal five-on-five setting – are turning into goals against. Getting back to the defensive zone exit issues a bit: I’ve long argued that Ottawa’s biggest problem is that they are way, way too reliant on Erik Karlsson to do just about everything. Hockey analysts have lauded him for years as the most dynamic offensive defenseman, but one of the best parts of his game that really isn’t captured in the publicly-available data is his ability to flee the defensive zone with control. What I did was track zone exits through Ottawa’s first three games, and threw them into the table below. I’ll note that the data only includes performance from the first and second period of each game – I generally omit third periods because they are swamped in score effects and teams radically adjust their pace, structure, and systems late in games. Here, DZ Fail Rate indicates the percentage of times the defender was directly responsible for a turnover in the defensive zone. NZ Fail Rate indicates the percentage of times the defender only succeeded in getting the puck out of the defensive zone. Success rate indicates the percentage of times the defender was responsible for a successful exit -- his team maintaining possession as they rush through the neutral zone. Senators Defensive Zone Exits Defenceman DZ Fail Rate NZ Fail Rate Success Rate Jared Cowen 52.3% 23.8% 23.8% Chris Phillips 23.5% 17.6% 58.8% Cody Ceci 30.4% 34.7% 34.7% Patrick Wiercioch 14.3% 57.1% 28.5% Eric Gryba 35.0% 25.0% 40.0% Erik Karlsson 15.1% 21.2% 63.6% Mark Borowiecki 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% Here are the raw totals: Senators Defensive Zone Exit Totals Defenceman DZ Failures NZ Failures Successful Exits Jared Cowen 11 5 5 Chris Phillips 8 6 20 Cody Ceci 7 8 8 Patrick Wiercioch 1 4 2 Eric Gryba 7 5 8 Erik Karlsson 5 7 21 Mark Borowiecki 3 3 6 If you want to do the quick math here, Ottawa’s defensemen have turned the puck over in the defensive zone 42-times in six periods. 38 more times, they’ve only done enough to clear the zone. A lot of times, this sort of play only temporarily buys time – it’s obviously better than a clean defensive zone turnover, but there’s a good chance the opposition is going to collect the puck with structure and rush right back into the zone. So, that’s 80 dead plays of varying failure that can be directly attributed to the blue-line in just 137 five-on-five minutes. The group as a whole is again disappointing – most noticeably that of Jared Cowen, who has already become a regular fixture in the press box. There’s a separately obvious issue that the team just places way too much burden on Erik Karlsson to get them out of the danger areas on the back-end. Let’s, as a third exercise, look at Ottawa defenders and Erik Karlsson separately here. Karlsson vs. Rest of Sens Defence Defenceman DZ Fail Rate NZ Fail Rate Success Rate Ottawa defenders 31.6% 26.4% 42.0% Erik Karlsson 15.1% 21.2% 63.6% The turnover rates are astounding. And let’s remember here that the ‘Ottawa defenders’ group is being buoyed by an improbably sharp start from Chris Phillips. Phillips was fantastic at taking some of the pressure off of Karlsson on the team’s inaugural road trip, but it’s impossible to expect that to continue – there are simply too many miles on the Phillips vehicle, and he’s far better suited at this point in his career in a second or third-pairing role. Phillips might turn in a decent season, but at some point, his numbers will inevitably turn downward. This is precisely why Ottawa needs significant (and rapid) improvement from young defenders Patrick Wiercioch and Cody Ceci – both of whom are expected to log decent minutes this season. If that improvement doesn’t materialize, Ottawa could again be on the outside looking in come playoff time. Earl Thomas III Jersey . The 21-year-old Wickham headed Sunderland into a 26th-minute lead --to add to the double he scored at Manchester City and his strike in last weekends win at Chelsea -- and then sealed the win with a late header. Dion Jordan Jersey . With newly minted president of hockey operations Trevor Linden looking on from above one day after being handed the keys to the franchise, it was more of the same on Thursday night. http://www.officialseattleseahawksfootba...r-jersey-womens. Grimes signed a $32 million, four-year contract to remain with Miami. The deal, which includes $16 million guaranteed, rewards Grimes for his recovery from an Achilles tendon injury that forced him to miss almost all of the 2012 season. Rashaad Penny Jersey .FIFA said its appeals panel ruled the case not admissible.The former U.S. Attorney had objected to ethics judge Joachim Eckerts summary of the World Cup bid investigation, claiming numerous materially incomplete and erroneous representations of his work. Alex McGough Jersey . The Los Angeles Clippers showed them just how ugly that life could be. Jared Dudley scored a season-high 21 points, Chris Paul added 16 points and 17 assists, and the Clippers jumped all over the Bulls in Roses absence for a 121-82 victory Sunday.PHILADELPHIA -- After a terrible start, the Philadelphia Flyers are back on track. Kimmo Timonen had a goal and two assists, Steve Mason made 32 saves and the Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2 Tuesday night. Claude Giroux, Sean Couturier, Wayne Simmonds and Adam Hall also scored for Philadelphia, which is 4-0-1 in its last five games after a 4-10-1 start. "When you skate hard, create chances, good things will happen," Timonen said. "The team looks good right now. A lot of things are going well for us now and we have to keep it going." Clarke MacArthur and Kyle Turris each had a power-play goal for the Senators, who have lost two in a row. Timonen and Simmonds scored 23 seconds apart to snap a 2-all tie in the third period. First, Timonen got his first goal of the season on a nifty move to give the Flyers a 3-2 lead. He skated in from the left side and stuffed a backhander past Robin Lehner. Simmonds then scored on a turnaround slap shot from the slot, and Mason stoned Turris on a penalty shot with 5:06 left to preserve the two-goal cushion. "Confidence is a big thing," Flyers coach Craig Berube said. "Our top players are producing, getting points and feeling good about themselves." Coming off a 2-0-1 road trip that included a 5-0 win at Ottawa, the Flyers jumped out to a 2-0 lead before letting the Senators back in it. Turris had a chance to give Ottawa the lead with a wide-open net midway through the third, but defenceman Nicklas Grossmann made a double-skate save in the crease. The play was reviewed after the next stoppage and upheld. The puck hit Grossmanns left skate, bounced off his right skate and out. "I tried to get some guys out of the crease and I just felt the puck hit my left foot," Grossmann said. "It was more lucky than reflex." Timonen and Simmonds scored shortly after a long stop for the video review.dddddddddddd Down 2-0 for the 11th time in 21 games, the Senators started their comeback in the second period when MacArthur fired a top-shelf shot from inside the left circle through a screen and over Masons shoulder. It stayed 2-1 until the third period when Turris scored 10 seconds into Ottawas fifth power-play chance. Turris backhanded a bouncing puck past Mason to tie it at 2. "We had an opportunity with 10 minutes left in the game and the score tied and we didnt respond well," Senators coach Paul MacLean said. The Flyers went ahead 1-0 after killing consecutive penalties that included a 12-second overlap. Giroux scored a power-play goal with 2:16 left in the first period off a perfect pass by Jakub Voracek, who faked a shot from the right circle and slid the puck across the ice. Giroux ripped it over defenceman Chris Phillips and past the sprawled Lehner. It was only the second goal of the season for Giroux, and the Flyers captain celebrated by kissing his stick on the bench. Couturier made it 2-0 early in the second by ending a 25-game goal drought. He took a shot from below the goal line that bounced off the post, hit Lehners right skate and went in. "It feels good. I feel 20 pounds lighter," Couturier said. "Ive had some quality chances lately and it feels good to finally get one in." NOTES: Voracek has six points (two goals, four assists) in his last five games. ... Giroux didnt have any goals in the first 15 games before getting two in the last five. ... Lehner started over Craig Anderson, who lost to the Flyers last week and has allowed 11 goals in his last three games. ... The Senators have allowed the first goal in 14 consecutive games. ... Couturier hadnt scored a goal since April 15. ... Mason hasnt allowed more than three goals in his 21 starts since joining the Flyers in a trade last April. 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